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Natural Gas and Geopolitics
From 1970 to 2040

$105.00 (C)

James A. Baker III, Joe Barnes, Mark H. Hayes, Amy M. Jaffe, David G. Victor, Fred von der Mehden, Steven W. Lewis, Nadejda M. Victor, David R. Mares, Martha Brill Olcott, Kohei Hashimoto, Jareer Elass, Stacy L. Eller, Rob Shepherd, James Ball, Peter Hartley, Kenneth B. Medlock III, Ronald Soligo
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  • Date Published: October 2008
  • availability: Available
  • format: Paperback
  • isbn: 9780521082907

$ 105.00 (C)

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About the Authors
  • By most estimates, global consumption of natural gas - a cleaner-burning alternative to coal and oil - will double by 2030. However, in North America, Europe, China, and South and East Asia, which are the areas of highest-expected demand, the projected consumption of gas is expected to far outstrip indigenous supplies. Delivering gas from the world's major reserves to the future demand centres will require a major expansion of inter-regional, cross-border gas transport infrastructures. This book investigates the implications of this shift, utilizing historical case studies as well as advanced economic modelling to examine the interplay between economic and political factors in the development of natural gas resources. The contributors aim to shed light on the political challenges which may accompany a shift to a gas-fed world.

    • An exploration of how gas may become our most important energy source
    • Contains historical case studies of seven centres of gas production: North Africa, Indonesia, South America's Southern Cone, Central Asia, Qatar and Trinidad
    • Multi-dimensional analysis of gas trade's implications for economic and security policy
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    Reviews & endorsements

    “Energy is on the front burner and will stay there, so this book has special value. Read it and learn about the topic of today and tomorrow and tomorrow.” George P. Shultz United States Secretary of State, 1982-1989

    "The coming phase of energy industry development is bringing with it the rapid globalisation of the gas business. Long term take-or-pay contracts, which align supply and demand and which formed the foundation of all successful projects in the past, are coming under pressure from liberalisation. But security of supply still depends on security of demand: this timely and authoritative study demonstrates that, if gas is to fulfil its enormous promise as an energy source, new ways must be found to establish the confidence of both sides that secure supply will be matched by reliable demand." Frank Chapman CEO, BG Group plc

    “This is a very valuable addition to the global literature on energy issues and energy policy. Natural gas markets have tightened around the world. As I write today, Russia and the Ukraine have been embroiled in a sharp, market-shaking disagreement regarding long- and short-term gas deliveries needed in Europe, causing Germany suddenly to question its growing reliance on Russian gas supplies. The implications of this globalizing gas market for the United States - for homeowners and businesses who have depended on a stable domestic gas market for decades - are huge. Natural Gas and Geopolitics goes deep into the global gas policy issues that affect critical US energy policy, not only looking backward but helping understand what may happen as the global natural gas market develops.” Bill Richardson, Governor of New Mexico United States Secretary of Energy, 1998-2001

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    Product details

    • Date Published: October 2008
    • format: Paperback
    • isbn: 9780521082907
    • length: 540 pages
    • dimensions: 234 x 156 x 28 mm
    • weight: 0.75kg
    • contains: 40 tables
    • availability: Available
  • Table of Contents

    List of figures
    List of tables
    List of boxes
    List of contributors
    Foreword James A. Baker III
    List of acronyms and abbreviations
    Part I. Introduction and Context:
    1. Introduction to the study Joe Barnes, Mark H. Hayes, Amy M. Jaffe and David G. Victor
    Part II. Historical Case Studies:
    2. Introduction to the historical case studies: research questions, methods and case selection Mark H. Hayes and David G. Victor
    3. The Transmed and Maghreb projects: gas to Europe from North Africa Mark H. Hayes
    4. Liquefied natural gas from Indonesia: the Arun project Fred von der Mehden and Steven W. Lewis
    5. Bypassing Ukraine: exporting Russian gas to Poland and Germany Nadejda M. Victor and David G. Victor
    6. Natural gas pipelines in the Southern Cone David R. Mares
    7. International gas trade in Central Asia: Turkmenistan, Iran, Russia and Afghanistan Martha Brill Olcott
    8. Liquefied natural gas from Qatar: the Qatargas project Kohei Hashimoto, Jareer Elass and Stacy L. Eller
    9. Liquefied natural gas from Trinidad & Tobago: the Atlantic LNG project Rob Shepherd and James Ball
    10. Politics, markets and the shift to gas: insights from the seven historical case studies Mark H. Hayes and David G. Victor
    Part III. International Gas Trade Economics:
    11. The Baker Institute World Gas Trade Model Peter Hartley and Kenneth B. Medlock III
    12. Political and economic influences on the future world market for natural gas Peter Hartley and Kenneth B. Medlock III
    13. Market structure in the new gas economy: is cartelization possible? Amy M. Jaffe and Ronald Soligo
    Part IV. Implications:
    14. Conclusions Amy M. Jaffe, Mark H. Hayes and David G. Victor
    Appendix: technical notes Nadejda M. Victor

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  • Editors

    David G. Victor, Stanford University, California
    David G. Victor is Director of the Program on Energy and Sustainable Development at Stanford University.

    Amy M. Jaffe, Rice University, Houston
    Amy M. Jaffe is Wallace S. Wilson Fellow for Energy Studies at the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy of Rice University.

    Mark H. Hayes, Stanford University, California
    Mark H. Hayes is a Research Fellow on the Program on Energy and Sustainable Development at Stanford University.


    James A. Baker III, Joe Barnes, Mark H. Hayes, Amy M. Jaffe, David G. Victor, Fred von der Mehden, Steven W. Lewis, Nadejda M. Victor, David R. Mares, Martha Brill Olcott, Kohei Hashimoto, Jareer Elass, Stacy L. Eller, Rob Shepherd, James Ball, Peter Hartley, Kenneth B. Medlock III, Ronald Soligo

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