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Reassessing the Incumbency Effect

$38.00 ( ) USD

  • Date Published: February 2009
  • availability: This ISBN is for an eBook version which is distributed on our behalf by a third party.
  • format: Adobe eBook Reader
  • isbn: 9780511474101

$ 38.00 USD ( )
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  • Incumbents in the U.S. House of Representatives have presumably increased their vote percentages in recent decades, raising questions about the efficacy of elections in making members responsive. The evidence, however, indicates there has been no improvement in the electoral fortunes of incumbents in the last 50 years. Only Republicans have improved their electoral fortunes as a result of realignment. This valuable book provides a very different interpretation of how incumbents have fared in recent decades, and the interpretation is supported by non-technical data analysis and presentation.

    • Critical analysis of what has happened in House elections
    • Unique and non-technical presentation of data
    • New explanation of rise of safe seats in the House
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    Product details

    • Date Published: February 2009
    • format: Adobe eBook Reader
    • isbn: 9780511474101
    • contains: 23 tables
    • availability: This ISBN is for an eBook version which is distributed on our behalf by a third party.
  • Table of Contents

    Part I. An Increased Incumbency Effect: Reconsidering Evidence:
    1. An increased incumbency effect and American politics
    2. The consensus about a greater incumbency effect
    3. The trend in incumbent vote percentages
    4. Cumulative career changes
    5. The retirement slump
    Part II. Realignment and the Fortunes of (Some) Incumbents:
    6. An alternative framework: the role of realignment
    7. A partisan view of incumbent percentages
    8. The role of realignment
    9. Conclusions and implications
    Part III. Appendices: More Detailed Analyses of Incumbency Indicators: Appendix A. The Gelman–King estimation
    Appendix B. Realignment and the retirement slump
    Appendix C. The data.

  • Author

    Jeffrey M. Stonecash, Syracuse University, New York
    Jeffrey M. Stonecash is Maxwell Professor in the Maxwell School, Syracuse University. He researches political parties, changes in their electoral bases, and how these changes affect political polarization and public policy debates. His recent books are Class and Party in American Politics (2000), Diverging Parties (2002), Political Polling (2003), Parties Matter (2005), and Split: Class and Cultural Divisions in American Politics (2007). He is now working with Mark Brewer on a book about the dynamics of party realignment since 1900. He has done polling and consulting for political candidates since 1985.

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