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Understanding Probability

3rd Edition

$62.99 (P)

  • Date Published: July 2012
  • availability: Available
  • format: Paperback
  • isbn: 9781107658561

$ 62.99 (P)
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  • Understanding Probability is a unique and stimulating approach to a first course in probability. The first part of the book demystifies probability and uses many wonderful probability applications from everyday life to help the reader develop a feel for probabilities. The second part, covering a wide range of topics, teaches clearly and simply the basics of probability. This fully revised third edition has been packed with even more exercises and examples and it includes new sections on Bayesian inference, Markov chain Monte-Carlo simulation, hitting probabilities in random walks and Brownian motion, and a new chapter on continuous-time Markov chains with applications. Here you will find all the material taught in an introductory probability course. The first part of the book, with its easy-going style, can be read by anybody with a reasonable background in high school mathematics. The second part of the book requires a basic course in calculus.

    • Fascinating probability problems (Monty Hall, birthday surprise, lottery winners and more) explained in a way that anyone can understand
    • The author writes with wit and clarity, explaining mathematics in a unique informal style
    • This third edition now covers Bayesian inference, Markov chain Monte-Carlo simulation, Brownian motion and more
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    Reviews & endorsements

    "If this review feels very enthusiastic, then indeed that is my intention. My own feelings on Understanding Probability are that it is an extremely useful book that makes probability understandable to a wide audience."
    A. Jasra, Asia Pacific Mathematics Newsletter

    "This is a very enjoyable introductory textbook on probability theory. As the author writes in a very reader-friendly style and the examples are exceptionally well chosen, students will find it difficult to stop reading the book. Essential."
    M. Bona, University of Florida, Choice Magazine

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    Product details

    • Edition: 3rd Edition
    • Date Published: July 2012
    • format: Paperback
    • isbn: 9781107658561
    • length: 574 pages
    • dimensions: 226 x 152 x 33 mm
    • weight: 0.9kg
    • contains: 60 b/w illus. 520 exercises
    • availability: Available
  • Table of Contents

    Preface
    Introduction
    Part I. Probability in Action:
    1. Probability questions
    2. The law of large numbers and simulation
    3. Probabilities in everyday life
    4. Rare events and lotteries
    5. Probability and statistics
    6. Chance trees and Bayes' rule
    Part II. Essentials of Probability:
    7. Foundations of probability theory
    8. Conditional probability and Bayes
    9. Basic rules for discrete random variables
    10. Continuous random variables
    11. Jointly distributed random variables
    12. Multivariate normal distribution
    13. Conditioning by random variables
    14. Generating functions
    15. Discrete-time Markov chains
    16. Continuous-time Markov chains
    Appendix
    Counting methods and ex
    Recommended reading
    Answers to odd-numbered problems
    Bibliography
    Index.

  • Resources for

    Understanding Probability

    Henk Tijms

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  • Author

    Henk Tijms, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam
    Henk Tijms is Emeritus Professor at Vrije University in Amsterdam. He is the author of several textbooks and numerous papers on applied probability and stochastic optimization. In 2008 Henk Tijms received the prestigious INFORMS Expository Writing Award for his publications and books.

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